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Selected Publications

Quijal-Zamorano M, Martínez-Solanas È, Achebak H, Petrova D, Robine JM, Herrmann FR, Rodó X, Ballester J.
    Seasonality reversal of temperature attributable mortality projections due to present-day unobserved extreme heat in Europe.
    The Lancet Planetary Health 5, e573-e575 (2021).

Martínez-Solanas È, Quijal-Zamorano M, Achebak H, Petrova D, Robine JM, Herrmann FR, Rodó X, Ballester J.
    Projections of temperature attributable mortality in Europe: a timeseries analysis in 147 contiguous regions.
    The Lancet Planetary Health 5, e446-e454 (2021).

Achebak H, Petetin H, Quijal-Zamorano M, Bowdalo D, Pérez García-Pando C, Ballester J.
    Reduction in air pollution and attributable mortality due to COVID-19 lockdown.
    The Lancet Planetary Health 4, e268 (2020).

Achebak H, Devolder D, Ingole V, Ballester J.
    Reversal of the seasonality of temperature-attributable mortality from respiratory diseases in Spain.
    Nature Communications 11, 2457 (2020).

Achebak H, Devolder D, Ballester J.
    Trends in temperature-related age-specific and sex-specific mortality from cardiovascular diseases in Spain: a national time-series analysis.
    The Lancet Planetary Health 3, E297-E306 (2019).
       --- Highlighted in the Issue Cover ---

Ballester J, Robine JM, Herrmann FR, Rodó X.
    Effect of the Great Recession on regional mortality trends in Europe.
    Nature Communications 19, 679 (2019).
       --- Highlighted in Nature Research Behavioural & Social Sciences Community ---

Achebak H, Devolder D, Ballester J.
    Heat-related mortality trends under recent climate warming in Spain: a 36-year observational study.
    PLOS Medicine 15, e1002617 (2018).

Ballester J, Petrova D, Bordoni S, Cash B, García-Díez M, Rodó X.
    Sensitivity of El Niño intensity and timing to preceding subsurface heat magnitude.
    Scientific Reports 6, 36344 (2016).

Ballester J, Rodó X, Robine JM, Herrmann FR.
    European seasonal mortality and influenza incidence due to winter temperature variability.
    Nature Climate Change 6, 927-930 (2016).
       --- Highlighted in the Issue Cover ---

Rodó X, Curcoll R, Robinson M, Ballester J, Burns JC, Cayan DR, Lipkin WI, Williams BL, Couto-Rodriguez M, Nakamura Y, Uehara R, Tanimoto H, Morguí JA.
    Tropospheric winds from northeastern China carry the etiologic agent of Kawasaki disease from its source to Japan.
    Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 111, 7952-7957 (2014).
       --- News feature in Nature and Science ---

Cash B, Rodó X, Ballester J, Bouma M, Baeza A, Dhiman R, Pascual M.
    Malaria epidemics and the influence of the Tropical South Atlantic on the Indian monsoons.
    Nature Climate Change 3, 502-507 (2013).

Rodó X*, Ballester J*, Cayan D, Melish ME, Nakamura Y, Uehara R, Burns JC.
          * These authors contributed similarly to this work *
    Association of Kawasaki disease with tropospheric wind patterns.
    Scientific Reports 1, 152 (2011).
       --- News feature in Nature ---

Ballester J, Robine JM, Herrmann FR, Rodó X.
    Long-term projections and acclimatization scenarios of temperature-related mortality in Europe.
    Nature Communications 2, 358 (2011).

Publications

Quijal-Zamorano M, Martínez-Solanas È, Achebak H, Petrova D, Robine JM, Herrmann FR, Rodó X, Ballester J.
    Seasonality reversal of temperature attributable mortality projections due to present-day unobserved extreme heat in Europe.
    The Lancet Planetary Health 5, e573-e575 (2021).

Shoraka HR, Aboubakri O, Ballester J, Sharafkhani R.
    Heat and cold-related morbidity risk in north-east of Iran: a time-stratified case crossover design.
    Environmental Science and Pollution Research, doi:10.1007/s11356-021-15677-6 (2021).

Martínez-Solanas È, Quijal-Zamorano M, Achebak H, Petrova D, Robine JM, Herrmann FR, Rodó X, Ballester J.
    Projections of temperature attributable mortality in Europe: a timeseries analysis in 147 contiguous regions.
    The Lancet Planetary Health 5, e446-e454 (2021).

Petropoulos ZE, Ramirez-Rubio O, Scammell MK, Laws RL, Lopez-Pilarte D, Amador JJ, Ballester J, O’Callaghan-Gordo C, Brooks DR.
    Climate Trends at a Hotspot of Chronic Kidney Disease of Unknown Causes in Nicaragua, 1973-2014.
    International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 18, 5418 (2021).

Achebak H, Petetin H, Quijal-Zamorano M, Bowdalo D, Pérez García-Pando C, Ballester J.
    Trade-offs between short-term mortality attributable to NO2 and O3 changes during the COVID-19 lockdown across major Spanish cities.
    Environmental Pollution 286, 117220 (2021).

Ho JY, Zijlema WL, Triguero-Mas M, Donaire-Gonzalez D, Valentín A, Ballester J, Chan EYY, Goggins WB, Mo PKH, Kruize H, van den Berg M, Grazuleviciene R, Gidlow CJ, Jerrett M, Seto EYW, Barrera-Gómez J, Nieuwenhuijsen MJ.
    Does surrounding greenness moderate the relationship between apparent temperature and physical activity? Findings from the PHENOTYPE project.
    Environmental Research 197, 110992 (2021).

Gilabert J, Deluca A, Lauwaet D, Ballester J, Corbera J, Llasat MC.
    Assessing heat exposure to extreme temperatures in urban areas using the Local Climate Zones classification.
    Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 21, 375-391 (2021).

Dimitrova A, Ingole V, Basagaña X, Ranzani O, Milà C, Ballester J, Tonne C.
    Association between ambient temperature and heatwaves with mortality in South Asia: Systematic review and meta-analysis.
    Environment International 146, 106170 (2021).

Petrova D, Rodó X, Sippy R, Ballester J, Mejía R, Beltrán‐Ayala E, Borbor‐Cordova MJ, Vallejo GM, Olmedo AJ, Stewart‐Ibarra AM, Lowe R.
    The 2018–2019 weak El Niño: Predicting the risk of a dengue outbreak in Machala, Ecuador.
    International Journal of Climatology 41, 3813-3823 (2021).

Ellena M, Ballester J, Mercogliano P, Ferracin E, Barbato G, Costa G, Ingole V.
    Social Inequalities in Heat-attributable Mortality in the City of Turin, Northwest of Italy: A Time Series Analysis From 1982 to 2018.
    Environmental Health 19, 116 (2020).

Grist H, Ballester J, de Jong F, Langehaug HR, Olsen SM, Swingedouw D.
    Decadal Predictions to Climate Services: How Understanding Climate Change in the Arctic can Support Climate Adaptation Decision-Making across the Northern Hemisphere.
    In Arctic Yearbook 2020, (eds.) Heininen L, Exner-Pirot H, Akureyri BJ. Arctic Portal, Iceland (2020).

Achebak H, Petetin H, Quijal-Zamorano M, Bowdalo D, Pérez García-Pando C, Ballester J.
    Reduction in air pollution and attributable mortality due to COVID-19 lockdown.
    The Lancet Planetary Health 4, e268 (2020).

Achebak H, Devolder D, Ingole V, Ballester J.
    Reversal of the seasonality of temperature-attributable mortality from respiratory diseases in Spain.
    Nature Communications 11, 2457 (2020).

Ingole V, Marí-Dell’Olmo M, Deluca A, Quijal M, Borrell C, Rodríguez-Sanz M, Achebak H, Lauwaet D, Gilabert J, Murage P, Hajat S, Basagaña X, Ballester J
    Spatial Variability of Heat-Related Mortality in Barcelona from 1992-2015: A Case Crossover Study Design.
    International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 17, 2553 (2020).

Petrova D, Ballester J, Koopman SJ, Rodó X.
    Multi-year statistical prediction of ENSO enhanced by the Tropical Pacific Observing System.
    Journal of Climate 33, 163-174 (2020).

Mueller N, Rojas-Rueda D, Khreis H, Cirach M, Andrés D, Ballester J, Bartoll X, Daher C, Deluca A, Echave C, Milà C, Márquez S, Palou J, Pérez K, Tonne C, Stevenson M, Rueda S, Nieuwenhuijsen M.
    Changing the urban design of cities for health: The superblock model.
    Environment International 134, 105132 (2020).

Ballester J, Borràs S, Curcoll R, Navarro-Gallinad A, Pozdniakova S, Cañas L, Burns JC, Rodó X.
    On the interpretation of the atmospheric mechanism transporting the environmental trigger of Kawasaki Disease.
    PLOS ONE 14, e0226402 (2019).

Achebak H, Devolder D, Ballester J.
    Trends in temperature-related age-specific and sex-specific mortality from cardiovascular diseases in Spain: a national time-series analysis.
    The Lancet Planetary Health 3, e297-e306 (2019).

Ballester J.
    Will climate change worsen your health?
    Climanosco Research Articles 2, doi:10.37207/CRA.2.3 (2019).

Petrova D, Lowe R, Stewart-Ibarra A, Ballester J, Koopman SJ, Rodó X.
    Sensitivity of large dengue epidemics in Ecuador to long-lead predictions of El Niño.
    Climate Services 15, 100096 (2019).

Ballester J, Robine JM, Herrmann FR, Rodó X.
    Effect of the Great Recession on regional mortality trends in Europe.
    Nature Communications 19, 679 (2019).

Achebak H, Devolder D, Ballester J.
    Heat-related mortality trends under recent climate warming in Spain: a 36-year observational study.
    PLOS Medicine 15, e1002617 (2018).

Ballester J, Petrova D, Bordoni S, Cash B, Rodó X.
    Timing of subsurface heat magnitude for the growth of El Niño events.
    Geophysical Research Letters 44, 8501-8509 (2017).

Petrova D, Koopman SJ, Ballester J, Rodó X.
    Improving the long-lead predictability of El Niño using a novel forecasting scheme based on a dynamic components model.
    Climate Dynamics 48, 1249-1276 (2017).

García-Díez M, Lauwater D, Hooybergh H, Ballester J, De Ridder K, Rodó X.
    Advantages of using a fast urban boundary layer model as compared to a full mesoscale model to simulate the urban heat island of Barcelona.
    Geoscientific Model Development 9, 4439-4450 (2016).

Ballester J, Petrova D, Bordoni S, Cash B, García-Díez M, Rodó X.
    Sensitivity of El Niño intensity and timing to preceding subsurface heat magnitude.
    Scientific Reports 6, 36344 (2016).

Grossi C, Ballester J, Serrano I, Galmarini S, Camacho A, Curcoll R, Morguí JA, Rodó X, Duch MA.
    Influence of long-range atmospheric transport pathways and climate teleconnection patterns on the variability of surface 210Pb and 7Be concentrations in southwestern Europe.
    Journal of Environmental Radioactivity 165, 103-114 (2016).

Rodó X, Ballester J, Curcoll R, Boyard-Micheau J, Borràs S, Morguí JA.
    Revisiting the role of environmental and climate factors on the epidemiology of Kawasaki disease.
    Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences 1382, 84-98 (2016).

Ballester J, Bordoni S, Petrova D, Rodó X.
    El Niño dynamics and long lead climate forecasts.
    Climanosco Research Articles 1, doi:10.37207/CRA.1.2 (2016).

Ballester J, Rodó X, Robine JM, Herrmann FR.
    European seasonal mortality and influenza incidence due to winter temperature variability.
    Nature Climate Change 6, 927-930 (2016).

Ballester J*, Lowe R*, Diggle P, Rodó X.
          * These authors contributed similarly to this work *
    Seasonal forecasting and health impact models: challenges and opportunities.
    Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences 1382, 8-20 (2016).

Ballester J, Bordoni S, Petrova D, Rodó X.
    Heat advection processes leading to El Niño events as depicted by an ensemble of ocean assimilation products.
    Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 121, 3710-3729 (2016).

Lowe R, García Díez M, Ballester J, Creswick J, Robine JM, Herrmann FR, Rodó X.
    Evaluation of an Early-Warning System for Heat Wave-Related Mortality in Europe: Implications for Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Forecasting and Climate Services.
    International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 13, 206 (2016).

Ballester J, Bordoni S, Petrova D, Rodó X.
    On the dynamical mechanisms explaining the western Pacific subsurface temperature buildup leading to ENSO events.
    Geophysical Research Letters 42, 2961-2967 (2015).

Lowe R, Ballester J, Creswick J, Robine JM, Herrmann FR, Rodó X.
    Evaluating the performance of a climate-driven mortality model during heat waves and cold spells in Europe.
    International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 12, 1279-1294 (2015).

Rodó X, Curcoll R, Robinson M, Ballester J, Burns JC, Cayan DR, Lipkin WI, Williams BL, Couto-Rodriguez M, Nakamura Y, Uehara R, Tanimoto H, Morguí JA.
    Tropospheric winds from northeastern China carry the etiologic agent of Kawasaki disease from its source to Japan.
    Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 111, 7952-7957 (2014).

Ballester J, Burns JC, Cayan D, Nakamura Y, Uehara R, Rodó X.
    Kawasaki disease and ENSO-driven wind circulation.
    Geophysical Research Letters 40, 2284-2289 (2013).

Cash B, Rodó X, Ballester J, Bouma M, Baeza A, Dhiman R, Pascual M.
    Malaria epidemics and the influence of the Tropical South Atlantic on the Indian monsoons.
    Nature Climate Change 3, 502-507 (2013).

Ostro B, Barrera-Gómez J, Ballester J, Basagaña X, Sunyer J.
    The impact of future summer temperature on public health in Barcelona and Catalonia, Spain.
    International Journal of Biometeorology 56, 1135-1144 (2012).

Rodó X*, Ballester J*, Cayan D, Melish ME, Nakamura Y, Uehara R, Burns JC.
          * These authors contributed similarly to this work *
    Association of Kawasaki disease with tropospheric wind patterns.
    Scientific Reports 1, 152 (2011).

Ballester J, Robine JM, Herrmann FR, Rodó X.
    Long-term projections and acclimatization scenarios of temperature-related mortality in Europe.
    Nature Communications 2, 358 (2011).

Ballester J, Rodríguez-Arias MA, Rodó X.
    A new extratropical tracer describing the role of the western Pacific in the onset of El Niño: Implications for ENSO understanding and forecasting.
    Journal of Climate 24, 1425-1437 (2011).

Ballester J, Rodó X, Giorgi F.
    Future changes in Central Europe heat waves expected to mostly follow summer mean warming.
    Climate Dynamics 35, 1191-1205 (2010).

Ballester J, Giorgi F, Rodó X.
    Changes in European temperature extremes can be predicted from changes in PDF central statistics.
    Climatic Change - Letters 98, 277-284 (2010).

Ballester J, Douville H, Chauvin F.
    Present-day climatology and projected changes of warm and cold days in the CNRM-CM3 global climate model.
    Climate Dynamics 32, 1432-0894 (2009).

Ballester J, Moré J.
    The representativeness problem of a station net applied to the verification of a precipitation forecast based on areas.
    Meteorological Applications 14, 177-184 (2007).

Rodó X, Rodríguez-Arias MA, Ballester J
    The role of ENSO in fostering teleconnection patterns between the tropical north Atlantic and the western Mediterranean Basin.
    CLIVAR Exchanges 11, 26-27 (2006).